Business
IMF Warns Prolonged Iran Conflict Could Push Global Economy Toward Recession
The International Monetary Fund has warned that the global economy faces a serious risk of slipping into recession if the ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel continues and keeps energy prices elevated.
In its latest World Economic Outlook report, the IMF outlined a worst-case scenario in which oil, gas, and food prices surge and remain high through 2026. Under such conditions, global economic growth could fall below 2% next year — a level historically associated with near-recession conditions worldwide.
“This would mean a close call for a global recession, which has happened only four times since 1980,” the IMF noted, pointing to the most recent downturn during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Energy markets have been under intense pressure since the conflict escalated more than six weeks ago, particularly after disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping corridor for global oil and gas supplies. The collapse of peace talks between Washington and Tehran has further heightened uncertainty.
The IMF cautioned that the most severe economic impact would occur if oil prices average $110 per barrel this year and rise to $125 by 2027. In that scenario, global inflation could climb as high as 6% next year, potentially forcing central banks to raise interest rates to contain price pressures.
IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said that while defining a global recession can be complex, growth around 2% would feel like one for many people worldwide, with rising unemployment and increased food insecurity in several regions.
Although oil prices briefly approached $120 per barrel during the conflict, they have since eased, trading at around $98.85 as of Tuesday. However, the IMF stressed that the risk of recession would increase significantly if current disruptions persist over an extended period.
A quicker resolution to the conflict could help stabilise the outlook. The IMF said that if fighting subsides in the coming weeks and energy production normalises by mid-year, global growth in 2026 could reach 3.1%, slightly below its earlier forecast of 3.3%.
Among advanced economies, the United Kingdom is expected to be the hardest hit by the energy shock, with growth forecast downgraded to 0.8% this year before a modest recovery to 1.3%.
Oil-exporting nations in the Gulf are also projected to face significant economic strain. Iran’s economy is expected to contract by 6.1% this year, though it could rebound by 3.2% in 2027 if the conflict ends soon.
Elsewhere in the region, Qatar — a major supplier of liquefied natural gas — has seen key infrastructure targeted, including the Ras Laffan industrial complex. Its economy is forecast to shrink by 8.6% in 2026 before rebounding strongly the following year.
Neighbouring Iraq is also expected to suffer a 6.8% slowdown this year, followed by a projected recovery to 11.3% growth in 2027. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is forecast to maintain positive growth of 3.1% in 2026, accelerating to 4.5% the year after.
Business
Jaguar Land Rover to Cut 4,000 Jobs Amid Industry Challenges
Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) is set to cut around 4,000 jobs over the next two years as the carmaker faces growing competition from China, US tariffs and the costly transition to electric vehicles.
The redundancies will mainly affect employees at JLR’s UK-based head office. The company currently employs around 43,000 people worldwide.
JLR’s challenges were compounded by a cyber-attack last year that forced the company to halt production for more than a month.
Chief executive PB Balaji said the company was committed to supporting affected employees throughout the redundancy process.
“The automotive industry faces significant challenges, with technological change amidst intense competition and ongoing geo-political uncertainty,” he said.
JLR hopes to achieve most of the reductions through voluntary redundancy, with employees able to apply until 4 October. However, the company warned that compulsory redundancies could follow if insufficient staff volunteer, with less generous terms.
The affected employees are expected to receive details of the proposals by email in the coming days.
The job cuts form part of a wider effort to save £1.7bn over the next two years as JLR seeks to strengthen its finances and adapt to changing conditions in the global automotive industry.
David Bailey, professor of business and economics at Birmingham University, described JLR as “as strategically important as it gets for the UK economy”.
Business
Uber to Cut More Than 3,000 Jobs in Major Global Restructuring
Uber is set to cut more than 3,000 jobs worldwide as part of a major restructuring aimed at reducing management layers and redirecting spending towards the company’s core businesses.
The cuts represent about 10% of Uber’s global workforce and will reduce staffing to levels last seen in 2021.
Chief executive Dara Khosrowshahi told employees in an internal email that Uber had grown rapidly but had accumulated too many management layers and small teams, which had slowed decision-making.
He said the restructuring would make the company “simpler” and “faster”, while allowing it to free up funds for its biggest growth opportunities.
The job cuts will affect both managers and non-managers. Uber also plans to combine many of its smallest teams into larger groups, although it has not yet revealed which locations will be most affected.
Uber shares rose by nearly 2% following the announcement, suggesting investors welcomed the restructuring plans.
Analysts estimate the changes could generate as much as $2bn in annual savings for the company.
The restructuring comes as Uber increases investment in autonomous vehicle partnerships and expands its ride-hailing, food delivery and robotaxi operations.
The company is also changing its workplace policy, requiring almost all employees to work in person from designated hubs. Remote positions are expected to account for only about 1% of its workforce.
Unlike many major technology companies that have reduced headcount following heavy investment in artificial intelligence, Uber had largely avoided significant job cuts since the pandemic.
Business
Meta Agrees to Pay Up to $18bn to Settle Claims Its Platforms Harm Children
Meta has agreed to pay up to $18bn (£13.3bn) to settle claims brought by US states that Facebook and Instagram harmed children, in what would be the company’s largest payment over child safety litigation.
The settlement covers 48 states, as well as the District of Columbia and three US territories. It still requires approval from a judge in California.
As part of the agreement, Meta will introduce a series of measures designed to give parents greater control over how children use its platforms.
The company has denied wrongdoing and said the settlement payment will be made in annual instalments over 10 years.
“This is a major moment to clean up an industry that has been hurting our kids,” California Attorney General Rob Bonta said.
The original lawsuit was filed in 2023 by 29 states, which accused Meta of violating federal and state child privacy laws and using features designed to keep young users engaged on its platforms.
One state not included in the settlement is New Mexico. Last month, a federal judge there ruled that Meta’s conduct constituted a “public nuisance”, comparing the harm to that associated with air pollution, and ordered the company to pay almost $1bn in combined fines.
Under the new settlement, Meta will introduce a number of restrictions for teenage users.
A “night mode” feature, which blocks notifications between midnight and 06:00, will be switched on by default. Parents or guardians will be able to control whether the setting can be disabled.
Teenagers will also face a default two-hour daily limit across Instagram and Facebook. The limit can only be disabled with parental permission.
Other measures include:
- Hiding “likes” on teenagers’ profiles and on posts they interact with.
- Introducing “school mode”, which will mute notifications between 08:00 and 15:00 on school days.
- Sending prompts after 15 minutes of continuous use, followed by notifications at 60 and 90 minutes of cumulative use.
- Allowing teenagers to choose a feed that is not driven by an algorithm.
- Giving users the option to disable video and content autoplay.
- Removing access to extreme make-up filters for teenage users.
Meta’s chief legal officer, C J Mahoney, said the agreement would give parents greater control over how their children access the company’s platforms.
The daily usage limit could become even stricter if other major social media companies agree to similar restrictions. Under the settlement, the limit would fall to one hour a day if platforms including TikTok, Snapchat and YouTube introduce new restrictions for young users.
-
Entertainment7 days agoEgyptian TV Presenter Among 12 Sentenced to Death in Drugs Case
-
News7 days agoIndonesia Volcano Eruption Leaves 170,000 Passengers Stranded
-
News1 week agoUS Strikes Three Iranian Oil Tankers After Warships Targeted
-
Business6 days agoJaguar Land Rover to Cut 4,000 Jobs Amid Industry Challenges
-
Sports1 week agoHaaland Header Keeps Manchester City Perfect as Coventry Remain Pointless
-
News4 days agoOne Killed as Train Derails After Collision With Truck in Poland
-
News6 days agoKing Charles Rules Out Royal Duties for Harry and Meghan After UK Return
-
News4 days agoUS to Ban Imports of Canadian Alcohol, Dairy Products and Motorbikes
